The Dahly Lima….the Forgotten Ones
My strategy has always been when it comes to H2H fantasy baseball I want players that can fill stats in almost every category. If there are six hitting categories up for grabs every week I need players that can fill multiple boxes. Sure the Roto guys would tell you they want those players too, but we aren’t playing for the end of the year, we are living in the right now. We aren’t battling every other manager in the league this week, we are facing “Wes from the office, whose desk is down the hall from us”, and we know he likes to talk a lot of shit come Monday. H2H makes this great game personal, it makes you exert real feelings towards your opponent. Where as the zombies in roto emotionlessly go through every week slowly grinding out the season till the very end. Most the time come ASB half the league in roto stops checking because they are out of it. But not us, we need to leave a path of W’s in our wake as we gear up for the playoffs.
On today’s rundown The Lima is going to give you players who are being drafted all over the board. Some were busts, some were injury prone, some may be to old. No matter the faults they are fellas I would welcome on my team that can respectfully fill a roll for your team. It’s important to note that last little line [fill a roll on your team]. Every team has the big bats, the stud arms, the speed guys, but at times things that get lost in H2H is depth and here is where we can dig into it.
Michael Brantley – OF CLE
Ok first things if you bought into Brantley last season you saw a great April/March. The guy had 24 hits in 78 AB’s, he hit 5 homers and knocked in 17. He swiped 3 bags and had an OPS of .916!! You were thinking to yourself I got this one right, great bargain right here, finally we are going to see what Brantley can do!!!
Then it happen……the injures started mounting up……and all the other players in your league gave you the old “I told you so, the dude always gets hurt.”
In fact Brantley is currently recovering from ankle surgery back in October and that explains why his ADP is dreadfully low (NFBC #242, RT Sports #297, Fantrax #240). We are talking round 20 or later here people. This guy didn’t have that horrible of a 2017, in 90 games he still went (.299/.357/.444). Brantley is only 30 years old but he is a forgotten horse in this race and most fantasy players are tired of his act, but not The Lima. This is exactly what I look for and I would have no problem taking Brantley as high up at the 17th round. I have him around #205 overall which is considerably higher than the big three listed above. When it’s that late in the draft you are filling holes Brantley could be a great find for a OF3 who provides both power and speed;
I could easily see a 2018 from Brantley that looks kinda like…
Of course this all depends on health, but once you are this deep into the draft there are going to be different factors with everyone who is being drafted. The Indians gave Brantley a $12,000,000.00 contract extension earlier this off season. They believe he is worth $12 mil, isn’t he at least worth a top #200 pick? I think so, I mean I’m not taking Matt Adams, Trey Mancini, Cameron Maybin, or Melky Cabrera over him. That’s just how we want it though…..Let Michael be forgotten and lurk in the shadows.
Jonathan Villar – 2B MIL
Before you even say anything, I get it……..I get you HATE Villar, but as I said earlier we are looking for players to fill roles. Villar in some leagues will be 2B/OF eligible for the 2018 season, thats a nice start to this conversation, right?
Now do I believe Villar will ever get back to 60+ stolen bases? I don’t think so, but 30…….I think 30+ could be do-abe. If you are on FWFB website then you most likely aren’t a dummy and you can see the trends in MLB just as anyone else can. Home Runs are ↑ and stolen bases are ↓ .
2014 – 2764 (Total SB) 2014 – 4186 (Total HR)
2017 – 2527 (Total SB) 2017 – 6105 (Total HR)
-237 (Total SB) ↓ +1919 (Total HR) ↑
It doesn’t take a PHD from Marist College to see that steals are a fading commodity and homers can be found almost anywhere now a days. You need to find steals where ever you can, look Villar had a terrific 2016 (.286/.369/.457) season in which he scored 92 runs and stole 62 bases, and then of course his terrible 2017. His current ADP is #198 (NFBC #182, RT Sports #240, Fantrax #178). We are seeing him go anywhere from the 20th round all the way up to the 14th. The Fantasy Baseball Forecaster (My Bible) has Villar projected at 26 SB and Baseball Reference (The Granddaddy of them all) has him projected for 30 SB. Do you know how many MLB players had 30+ SB last year?……….Six……Six!!
We are talking a potential game changer in a weak speed department that is going as low as 20th round and has dual position eligibility. The point being Villar fills a roll, the roll of bench player who can start at multiple positions and COULD BE a force in the speed department. There will be “experts” who say the guy cant hit the gaps, hit for power, or walk anymore. But if I see 30 SB that late in the draft I see a gem and a player that gives my team depth at a large discount. Don’t be afraid to pull the trigger on Villar, especially if you are one of the guys who found yourself drafting Robbie Cano or Jonathan Schoop (Both power bats at the 2B position). A bench 2B/OF with speed may be exactly what you need come Sunday when your team is down stolen bases and that jerk from work (Wes) thinks he has this week wrapped up.
Ian Desmond – 1B COL
Ok so this one has some history click here to read my previous article on Ian Desmond. (Which I was 100000% correct about, athank you)
Desmond has been one of my favorite players since he helped me win a few championships back in the earlier part of this decade. Fast forward to now and the former big Colorado FA singing has relatively remained a ghost on peoples draft board. With no competition ahead of him he should be the everyday regular first baseman for the Rockies. There is no hand injury this year and his body is at 100% health. At least, we hope.
Currently his ADP is #103 (NFBC #110, RT Sports #94, Fantrax #121) so basically we are seeing him go around 8th – 11th rounds. Which is respectfully accurate I believe. But here is why Ian fills gaps, he is currently the #15 1st basemen off the board which is a little low for my liking. Todd Frazier is getting drafted before ID……You mean to tell me you would rather have Todd Frazier at corner infield over Desmond? That’s ludacris.
This is Fantasy Pro’s First Basemen rankings for 2018..
12 Buster Posey (SF – C,1B) (Just no, you’re a catcher, get outta here)
13 Justin Smoak (TOR – 1B) (GROSS)
14 Ryan Zimmerman (WSH – 1B) (Didn’t we lock you in a dumpster?)
15 Carlos Santana (PHI – 1B,RF) (I’m a Philly guy, so good luck)
16 Matt Olson (OAK – 1B,RF) (Curious to see how he turns out, but Id rather have ID)
17 Matt Carpenter (STL – 1B,2B,3B) (He’s still alive?)
18 Ian Desmond (COL – 1B,LF) (Move this man up)
19 Miguel Sano (MIN – 1B,3B,DH) (I respect women)
20 Joey Gallo (TEX – 1B,3B,LF) (Huge Hammer stick)
21 Greg Bird (NYY – 1B) (This guy is the worst)
Seems very low to me as I truly believe we can see the return of Desmond that we saw in Tex and in Wash come back to life. It’s not out of the questions to see a 20 homer 80 rbi 20 sb year from Desmond. His address is Coors Field right? He has a stacked lineup and MVP teammate in Charlie Blackmon, right? He gets to play the Padres and Giants a lot, right?
What’s not to love here, it’s like a cheaper less well rounded Paul Goldschmidt, a 1B who can hit for power and swipe bags. Guess what ID is also dual position eligible too 1B/OF, I can’t stress how important this is in H2H. The ability to tinker and rotate your lineup with players who can both hit for power/speed at multiple positions is an advantage most savvy veteran H2H players know all too well. To me if you miss out on those top 5-6 first basemen why not wait it out a few rounds and scoop up Coors Field Heavy Hitter Ian Desmond, or…..take a chance on Justin Smoak (Gross).
That’s all for this week, hope it helped out you H2H’s out there.
-The Dahly Lima