Players Not Getting Love In Early Mock Drafts
At this time of the year, many of us worrying about two things. Who you are going to draft this year in your fantasy leagues and what to give the one you love for Valentine’s Day. First, if you want to go beyond flowers or candy, I would suggest Sugarfina Champagne Bears or a nice scented candle for her, and leather texting gloves, NFL Lifestyle Speakers (they are speakers shaped liked football helmets), or Mo’s Bacon Chocolate Bar for him. If you don’t have a Valentine, buy one of these for yourself, you deserve it. Speaking of the latter, there are some MLB players that are not getting love in early mock drafts. Some of the early mock drafts and top 300 rankings have been examined and there is a group of players that are going a little later than their rankings suggest they should.
Chris Archer – P – Avg. Rank – 48, Avg. ADP – 59
This is not a huge gap in rank and ADP but it is still a little surprising. It may be that he has been rumored to be traded, and/or the fact that he may end up pitching for a weak Rays team. The latest rumors have him possibly heading to Minnesota. Archer was an All-Star last season, but he finished the year with a ho-hum 10-12 record and ERA of 4.07. But Archer has number one pitcher skills, exemplified by his 249 strikeouts last season. He has 1,044 career strikeouts in just 967 innings pitched. I would expect that gap to close if he gets traded.
Andrew McCutchen – OF – Avg. Rank – 55, Avg ADP – 74
The Giants acquired McCutchen from the Pirates and one would think that going to a contender would boost his value. Perhaps drafters are remembering that he concluded an uneven 2017 season with a .363 on-base percentage, a .486 slugging percentage, 28 home runs and a .279 average. McCutchen, 31, spent nine years with the Pirates. He won the NL MVP in 2013 and made five consecutive All-Star teams from 2011-15.
Ryan Braun – OF – Avg. Rank – 68, Avg ADP – 90
This not surprising as it has been noticed that Braun had made the “bust” list in a few articles published so far. Also, injuries have taken their toll on Braun the last few seasons, and as a result, he played just 104 games. The Brewers have also suggested that Braun may play some first base this year. Resting Braun more combined with the injury risks probably makes him a complementary piece for fantasy teams rather than the early-round cornerstone he used to be.
Dexter Fowler – OF – Avg. Rank 198 – Avg ADP – 268
This was very surprising to me. In fact, Fowler was drafted 306th in a staff draft I am involved in. It wasn’t like he was terrible last season, even though he only played 118 games due to injury. Fowler finished the 2017 regular season with a .264 average, 18 home runs, 64 RBIs, 68 runs scored and seven stolen bases. Recently, Cardinals manager Mike Matheny had indicated that the best bet for a better Cardinal offense remains with Fowler at leadoff, where he had a .390 on-base percentage in 2016, and move Matt Carpenter back to the middle of the batting order.
Marcus Semien – SS – Avg. Rank 226 – Avg. ADP – 248
Semien batted .171 in the first 11 games of the season and was bothered by wrist pain. Semien returned in July after wrist surgery and had a good finish to the season even though he was playing through some discomfort in the wrist. Semien batted .238 with 72 runs, 27 home runs, 75 RBI and 10 stolen bases in 2016. He should come close to those numbers if not slightly better in 2018.
Josh Harrison – 2B/3B – Avg. Rank – 235, Avg ADP – 289
Harrison has recently suggested that he be traded as the Pirates appear to be going into a rebuilding mode. Harrison, who’s going into his age-30 campaign, batted .272/.339/.432 in 107 with 16 home runs and 12 stolen bases. He also has multi-position versatility as he has spent time at second, third, and the outfield corners.
Starlin Castro – 2B – Avg. Rank -243, Avg. ADP – 298
The appears to be a bit of now playing for the Miami Marlins and their gutted roster. Even though he would like to be traded, he has stated that he plans to put his best foot forward if he remains in Miami. He batted .300 with 16 homers and 63 RBI with the Yankees in 2017.